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Energy in the Age of Protectionism
  • If economic reforms continue and investment deepens, India could supplant China as the world’s fastest-growing large economy and energy demand growth engine for the next decade. However, its more services-heavy, domestic focused economic structure will have a major impact on its future energy demand profile. It also faces hurdles – such as geopolitical tensions, energy import dependency and unfinished reforms – that could weigh on growth. Overall, Energy Intelligence forecasts that Indian oil demand – which is around 5.8 million b/d – will grow by about 170,000 b/d annually, topping out at 9 million b/d by 2050. If it can overcome infrastructure shortfalls, natural gas demand will also likely rise significantly.
    Wed, Oct 15, 2025
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  • In Q1 2026, Opec-plus will be vigilant in looking for signs of a saturated market, keeping its unwinding pause until the direction of the market crystallizes. A key question is where durable outlets for excess oil emerge, likely led by China, while geopolitical risks and oil on water remain material threats. In 2026, US foreign policy wildcards will be critical, particularly rising tensions between Washington and Caracas and potentially tighter Russia sanctions enforcement. The progression of group-wide assessments of each member’s maximum sustainable capacity will also be a critical item to watch.
    Fri, Dec 19, 2025
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