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2026 Political Risk Outlook
After a volatile 2025, elections and protests will continue to influence political risk over the course of the year with major energy sector implications.
Our latest report also details another 16 elections on our radar, with specific hydrocarbon sector, transition and geopolitical implications. We also review the “Gen Z” protests, which are occurring with increasing frequency, spreading from Southeast Asia to Africa, Europe and Latin America.
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Spotlight on Iran’s Crude Oil Market: Our In-depth Analysis
Uncover the dynamics of Iran’s oil market and dive deep into the drivers behind the sustained annual increase in oil exports, projects on the radar, crude flows as well as volumes of flagship and lesser-known export crude grades. An essential read to understand the market risks and logistics strengths.
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Top Green Utilities
Which companies have made the greatest strides toward decarbonizing power generation? Check out our updated rankings for the world’s top utilities by renewable installed capacity, carbon-free generation, and CO2 emissions in our Top Green Utilities dataset.
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Energy Economics Monitor: February 2026 Update
Energy Intelligence’s Energy Economics Monitor analyzes the key macroeconomic factors impacting energy market movement and sector investments. Our latest outlook suggests global growth has cooled as weakness in manufacturing outweighs resilience in services. Trade uncertainty has resurfaced, with renewed US-Europe frictions and a shift to new bilateral deals.
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In Conversation With: Michal Meidan
Michal Meidan , head of China energy research at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, discusses key issues for China and the energy transition with Conversation of the Century editor Ronan Kavanagh.
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On-Demand Access to Energy Intelligence Insights
Enjoy flexible, on-demand access to our exclusive research reports with simple one-time payments, even outside your subscription. The new Energy Intelligence Store offers instant access to insights from our global network of experts across all our core services, so you can focus on the areas that matter most to your strategy.
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Top Stories
Story 1
ENERGY INTELLIGENCE NEWS
India Gets US Nod to Keep Taking Baseload Russian Volumes
Sources say India will continue to import baseload volumes of Russian crude rather than halting imports entirely, in agreement with the US.
Wed, Feb 18, 2026
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Story 2
ENERGY INTELLIGENCE NEWS
What We Know About Venezuela’s Post-Maduro Oil Sector
Six weeks in, Energy Intelligence breaks down what we know — and don’t — about the state of play in Venezuela’s oil sector and the US' attempts to manage its oil trade.
Wed, Feb 18, 2026
Story 3
ENERGY INTELLIGENCE NEWS
Exxon Remains Committed to Guyana Gas Despite Hurdles
The US major said development of Guyana’s gas resources hinges on the country's government advancing permitting approvals and a market framework.
Wed, Feb 18, 2026
Story 4
ENERGY INTELLIGENCE NEWS
Brent Pushes Past $70 on Unrelenting US-Iran Tensions
The global crude futures benchmark rose by more than 4% on Wednesday, as traders reinjected a bigger risk premium into oil markets.
Wed, Feb 18, 2026
Story 5
ENERGY INTELLIGENCE NEWS
Santos Plans Job Cuts as Profits Fall, CEO Pay Draws Scrutiny
Santos has secured a legal victory in a climate-related case while announcing plans to "rightsize" the company.
Wed, Feb 18, 2026
In Depth
Top Story 1
NEFTE COMPASS
Moscow Mulls Inducements to Attract US Investors Back
Russia is looking for ways to motivate the US to lift sanctions, but a Ukraine peace deal should be reached first.
Wed, Feb 18, 2026
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Top Story 2, 3 & 4
COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY BRIEFING
IOCs Still Keen on Libya Despite Disappointing Auction
Many Western oil companies remain interested in Libya but may prefer bilateral deals to bid rounds, results from the country's first auction in 18 years show.
Tue, Feb 17, 2026
EI NEW ENERGY
Industry Seeks New Approach to GHG Accounting
The Carbon Measures coalition is lobbying for an alternative methodology in accounting for emissions that focuses on products rather than companies, the group's CEO explains.
Thu, Feb 12, 2026
EI NEW ENERGY
Private Equity Eyes Data Centers, Batteries for Growth
Private equity players appear happy with the returns and resale opportunities from mature low-carbon technology, and see strong growth potential in certain areas.
Wed, Feb 18, 2026
Venezuela Crisis
COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE RESEARCH
Venezuela: Competitive Landscape and Investment Risk Outlook
While the political environment in Venezuela remains in flux, the US is advancing its energy agenda. US firms have cautiously signaled investment interest, but is likely contingent on political stability, physical security, sanctions removal and attractive fiscal terms. At the same time, Washington’s plan to restore the Venezuelan oil sector will need to include PDVSA, which relies on a network of partners. A review of this cobbled competitive landscape may be on the table. We expect Caracas to advance short-term energy policy changes, but long-term investment clarity will be needed.
Tue, Jan 13, 2026
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OIL MARKET INTELLIGENCE
Overview: Supply Stumbles Out of the Gate
Barring an escalation in the Mideast Gulf, a rebalancing should take place after the January supply hiccup.
Tue, Feb 17, 2026
ENERGY INTELLIGENCE NEWS
M&P Sees Silver Lining in Venezuela
Pertamina-owned Maurel & Prom is hoping its gamble to bet big on Venezuela will come good despite an initial setback last week.
Mon, Feb 16, 2026
COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY BRIEFING
Venezuela: US E&P and OFS Firms Wary, Refiners Buying Crude
Despite sanctions easing and improved fiscal terms, most US oil and service companies were still lukewarm toward Venezuela on their recent fourth-quarter calls.
Mon, Feb 16, 2026
ENERGY INTELLIGENCE NEWS
India Pushes State Refiners to Take More Venezuelan Crude
While New Delhi typically allows state-run refiners to make their own commercial crude sourcing decisions, that policy has come under diplomatic pressure.
Mon, Feb 16, 2026
Latest Research Reports
Latest 1
OIL MARKETS RESEARCH
Weekly Monitor: Notable Risk Premium Remains in Oil, But Fundamentals Better Than Feared
~$5 Risk Premium Remains, but ~$60 Still Fundamentally Supported
Tue, Feb 17, 2026
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>
Latest 4
RISK RESEARCH
2026 Political Risk Outlook: Elections and Gen Z Protests
Thu, Feb 12, 2026
LOW-CARBON ENERGY RESEARCH
Low-Carbon Energy in the Mideast Gulf: Saudi Arabia and UAE Seize the Initiative
Mon, Feb 9, 2026
OIL MARKETS RESEARCH
Weekly Monitor: Is 1Q Demand Outperforming or Supply Noticeably Underperforming?
Mon, Feb 9, 2026
COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE RESEARCH
M&A Monitor, Q1’26 Update
Thu, Feb 5, 2026
Latest Data
World Energy Opinion
WORLD ENERGY OPINION
How EVs Are Reshaping the Grid
From power plants to parked cars, the electricity grid is evolving into an AI-managed ecosystem, leveraging responsive demand and distributed EV storage.
Tue, Feb 17, 2026
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>
WORLD ENERGY OPINION
Trump Ambitions Face Reality Check
US energy and technology aspirations outstrip production, infrastructure and electricity realities, exposing structural weaknesses and reinforcing China’s lead.
Fri, Feb 13, 2026
WORLD ENERGY OPINION
Desalination in a Net-Zero World
In this opinion piece, Heriot-Watt University Dubai’s Manjula Nair explores how energy-efficient reverse osmosis can support climate goals.
Mon, Feb 9, 2026
WORLD ENERGY OPINION
China and the Western Hemisphere Post-Maduro
Maduro’s US capture makes Trump’s Monroe Doctrine corollary real, threatening China’s Belt and Road foothold in the Americas, argues Scott Ritter in this opinion piece.
Wed, Feb 4, 2026
WORLD ENERGY OPINION
Trump’s Venezuelan Oil Push Risks Backfiring
The US plan to revive Venezuelan oil risks depressing prices, hurting domestic shale and requiring uneconomic investment without political stability.
Mon, Feb 2, 2026
Most Read
WORLD GAS INTELLIGENCE
Inpex’s Abadi LNG Faces Fresh Cost Pressure Ahead of FID
Soaring capital costs test project economics, partner commitment and government support as Abadi moves deeper into Feed work.
Tue, Feb 17, 2026
ENERGY INTELLIGENCE NEWS
TotalEnergies, Oman Eye Marsa LNG Expansion
Talks on a Marsa LNG Train 2 development remain at an early stage.
Mon, Feb 16, 2026
ENERGY INTELLIGENCE NEWS
New US Licenses Further Open Venezuela for Western Firms
GLs 49 and 50, issued Friday, ease some sanctions on Venezuela's oil and gas sector, allowing Chevron, Eni, Repsol, Shell and BP to operate more broadly in the country.
Fri, Feb 13, 2026
WORLD GAS INTELLIGENCE
Why Did Morocco Cancel Its LNG Import Project?
Morocco suddenly halted a major LNG import project due to regulatory risks — but there is still scope for a redesign to emerge.
Tue, Feb 17, 2026
ENERGY INTELLIGENCE NEWS
US-Iran Talks Progress Amid Iran's Symbolic Hormuz Move
Iran raised the stakes during indirect talks with the US in Geneva on Tuesday, announcing a temporary partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
Tue, Feb 17, 2026
ENERGY INTELLIGENCE NEWS
XRG, YPF, Eni Sign Development Pact to Advance Argentina LNG
With XRG now formally signed up as an Argentina LNG partner, the trio will "continue working very intensively" to reach FID in the second half of 2026, says partner YPF.
Thu, Feb 12, 2026
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Our global network of experts monitors, analyzes and interprets the latest developments and trends across the energy industry, to deliver actionable intelligence.
Monica Enfield
Managing Director, Research and Advisory
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Casey Merriman
Editorial Director, Western Hemisphere and Head, Competitive Intelligence
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Ian Nathan
Director, Gas and LNG Research
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Abhi Rajendran
Director, Oil Markets Research
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Michael Collins
Director, Low-Carbon Energy Research
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